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Robbie Marriage's avatar

I think we'll split the difference here buddy. At season's end, I'll come around on your position on Arizona State, and you'll come around on my position on Army. I told you I'd bet on them to defeat Tulane several weeks ago. I should've found a way to swindle you into actually making a bet of some kind.

The six one possession games hurt Arizona State a lot in terms of my view of them, but beating the best two teams in the Big 12 that they played (K State and Iowa State) by 10+ means that they are playoff worthy. I doubted that a lot along the way, but I won't do it anymore. They're not going to (using your rankings) defeat ND in round two, but a good season for them nonetheless. You were right. I was wrong about Arizona State.

We fundamentally disagree on South Carolina because of my well known aversion to multi possession losses. For the same reason, we radically disagree on Clemson. Both are far too high. I can even say the same thing about Texas. I won't say it about Indiana because their multi possession loss was mostly the fault of special teams, which is not really indicative of performance level.

I'm not sure why Texas gets to be above Ohio State. I'm not sure why South Carolina or Clemson get to be above SMU, but that's just me. I don't like to rank teams highly that I've seen definitively get beaten. Not lose a football game. That happens to everybody, but lose definitively, by 10+. That really hurts my perception of a team. SMU's two losses by six total points would put them in over a SC team that got humiliated by Ole Miss, but that's just me. Additionally, let's not overrate end of season performance, or Baylor fans will begin claiming they were robbed of a playoff position, and nobody wants that...

Who did Duke play, and how did I not even know they were a 9-3 team? Upon further review, Duke got the Notre Dame end of the ACC, and even against that thin schedule, they played seven (!) one possession games. I don't know about that one chief, but funnily enough, if their one possession game luck could've turned their one point home loss to SMU to a one point home win over SMU, that all of a sudden creates a three way tie for second place in the ACC. I don't know who would've won that tie break, but it would've been hilarious to see Miami be so overrated for the entire season, only to fall out of the championship game right at the end to be replaced with Duke of all teams. Good season for Duke nonetheless, and it would've been a great season if they could've found that two point conversion against SMU. Just don't expect this one possession game luck to repeat. Either play fewer one score games next year, or regression to the mean is coming.

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